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arXiv:2510.09628 · uncategorized

The Lotka-Volterra Predator-Prey Model with Disturbance

Arhonefe Joseph Ogethakpo, Sunday Amaju Ojobor

method: odetier: T2fidelity 0.00arXiv abstract →read the article →

Abstract

The forces which drive growth, development, survival and change within an ecological system involving a predator and prey specie are not easily addressed in the field. To better understand the dynamics in the system, ecologists have turned to mathematical models. The predator-prey dynamics of rat and cat population in a given ecology is studied. The mathematical model proposed by Alfred J. Lotka and Vito Volterra called the Lotka-Volterra model for studying predator-prey dynamics is utilized. Assumptions were made to suit the given ecology. These assumptions lead to the modification of the Lotka-Volterra equations. The equilibrium and stability properties of the modified model is established. Results were simulated using MATLAB.

Extracted equations

  • dr/dt = u_r * r - m_r * r * c / (p^2 + r^2) - q * E * r
  • dc/dt = -v_c * c + n_c * e * k * r^2 * c / (p^2 + r^2) - d * c

Simulation outputs

plot /research-assets/2510.09628/timeseries.pngplot /research-assets/2510.09628/phase.png

Scalar outputs

r_max2.249e+20
r_min10.0000
r_final2.249e+20

Paper claims vs. our run

The simulation outputs provide only scalar statistics (min, max, final values) for a single state variable and do not include time-series data, phase-space trajectories, or predator population values needed to verify any of the paper's claims about oscillatory dynamics or population interactions. The extreme growth in r_final (2.25e+20) suggests potential numerical instability or model divergence, which contradicts expected bounded oscillatory behavior in Lotka-Volterra systems. No meaningful replication of the paper's claims can be assessed from these outputs.

  • The modified Lotka-Volterra model with disturbance (human predation) exhibits oscillatory dynamics in predator-prey populations
    not-testable
    The scalar outputs (r_max, r_min, r_final) do not reveal temporal dynamics or oscillatory behavior; we would need time-series trajectories to verify oscillations.
  • When disturbance reduces prey population, predator population increases, and vice versa
    not-testable
    The outputs show only final and extreme values of a single variable 'r' (likely prey), with no corresponding predator population data or temporal relationship to evaluate the claimed inverse dynamic.
  • The model is suitable for studying interspecific interactions with external disturbances
    not-testable
    This is a methodological claim about model applicability that cannot be assessed from scalar numerical results alone; it requires qualitative analysis of model structure and behavior.

Parameters

u_r0.5
m_r0.1
v_c0.3
n_c0.05
k0.8
p2
e0.6
q0.02
E1
d0.1

Run notes

state=['r', 'c']; y0=[10.0, 5.0]; t_span=[0.0,100.0]